Sunday, 18 August 2019

Brexit: Ministers expect no-deal challenge next month

Tuesday, 13 August 2019 13:06 Written by  font size decrease font size decrease font size increase font size increase font size

The government expects a group of MPs to try to block a no-deal Brexit by attempting to pass legislation when Parliament returns next month.

A No 10 source said they expected the challenge to come in the second week of September,

when MPs are are due to debate a report on Northern Ireland.

The source assumes the EU will wait until after that date before engaging in further negotiations.

It comes amid speculation Labour could table a no-confidence motion in the PM.

Shadow chancellor John McDonnell has said it is "almost inevitable" the party will push for such a vote when MPs return from their summer recess next month.

However Downing Street expects MPs could try to stop no-deal by passing legislation which would force ministers to request a further Brexit delay.

An opportunity to do so could come within five days of 4 September, by which point MPs have to debate a report on restoring devolution in Northern Ireland.

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Boris Johnson has pledged to deliver Brexit "do or die" before the latest deadline of 31 October, even if that requires leaving without a deal.

He says he would prefer the UK to leave with a deal and wants the EU to ditch the Irish border backstop plan from the deal negotiated by former PM Theresa May, which was rejected three times by Parliament.

But the EU has continued to insist that deal, including the backstop arrangements, is the only agreement possible.

The Downing Street source predicts that if a new deal is to be reached, it will be "at the last minute", possibly as late as 17 October, when EU leaders are due to meet for a scheduled summit in Brussels.

Parliamentary roadblocks
MPs previously passed a law in April to force Mrs May to request an extension of the UK's EU membership beyond the original Brexit deadline of 29 March.

Repeating that approach would first require MPs to take control of the timetable to make time for the law to de debated, as they did last time round.

However on Monday, the Institute for Government (IFG) has cautioned that there are "limited opportunities" to do so again this time.

In a report, the IFG said rebel MPs could need to rely on Speaker John Bercow allowing them to amend motions that cannot conventionally be amended.

The think tank noted that another route to block no deal - defeating the PM in a no-confidence vote - might not succeed.

This is because it is unclear what would happen if Mr Johnson refused to resign and waited for the UK to leave by default before a general election, it added.

Legal challenge underway
It comes as more than 70 MPs and peers began a legal challenge to try to prevent the prime minister shutting down parliament to force through a no-deal Brexit.

They want the Court of Session in Edinburgh to rule that suspending parliament to make the UK leave the EU without a deal is "unlawful and unconstitutional".

At the initial hearing on Tuesday, the judge, Lord Raymond Doherty, agreed to hear arguments from both sides in September.

Legal bid to stop Westminster Brexit shut-down
UK can cancel Brexit, says EU court
A challenge brought by the same group of anti-Brexit politicians last year saw the EU's top court rule the UK can cancel Brexit without the permission of the other 27 EU members.

Meanwhile, President Trump's national security adviser John Bolton has said the US would support a no-deal Brexit if that was the option the UK decided to pursue.

He also suggested that Washington would propose an accelerated series of trade deals, completed on a "sector-by-sector" basis.

His comments came after meeting Prime Minister Boris Johnson in Downing Street on Monday.

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